Oh, we cast ballots alright. We are not members of the Academy (yet) so our ballots don't count, but they count to us. We usually make some sort of small wager that will benefit the winner and the loser as well as provide bragging rights.
Over the years of viewing movies that Oscar feels are worthy of the award I've noticed a pattern. Every once in a while the pattern is broken and an unusual pick wins something, but if movies were horses and the Oscars were a horse race there would be some definite odds. Actually, I think Vegas does have betting on the Oscars with actual odds, but I haven't looked that up - yet.
Best Picture:
- Must be over two hours long. The longer the better. If it's so long it needs an intermission, it's a shoe in for best picture.
- It must be about a serious subject. Comedies are completely out. Any level of humor is suspect but acceptable if it's dark humor.
- It must be rated R. Every so often a PG-13 sneaks in, but is doomed to lose. Apparently, life is an R and PG-13 is too sweet. PG is the death knell for an Oscar. It won't even be considered, unless its animated.
- Must be well known, but not too well known. If a male actor is extremely famous and is nominated he will lose to the relative unknown. The voters of the academy want us to believe that they believe in underdogs.
- Must not have been previously a comedic actor. Comedy is a sign of weakness.
- Must not portray a conservative character. The academy also want us to believe that conservative men are not worthy of Oscar.
- Contrary to their male counterparts, a female lead needs to have principals, however warped, to be worthy of Oscar. Even in the liberal world of Hollywood a woman is still held to a different set of standards.
- Does not need to be naked in the film, but it helps. Another stereotype. Yikes!
- If Meryl Streep is up for best actress, she will win.
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